razor tight. >> the look at other national polls confirm it's razor tight. >> we've seen the polls razor tight. >> this race remains razor tight. >> stephen: yes, this race is razor tight. that means no margin for error or correct use of metaphor. i mean it's banana up for grabs. but-- folks every prediction out there, every prediction needs a pooper. in this case, "new york times" polling jedi nate silver who in 2008 correctly predicted 49 out of 50 states. but you know what they say, even a stopped clock is right 98% of the time. the silver's got a computer model that uses petroleum bo jumbo like weighted polling average, trend line adjustment and linear regression analysisment but ignores proven methodologies like flag pin size, handshake strength and intensity of debate glare. and as of tonight, folks, silver is predicting that obama has an 86.3% chance of winning re-election. (cheers and applause) >> stephen: yeah. i don't buy it either. where does he get off predicting something other than t